The Finale of 'Suvivor Cook Islands' will break yet another of the most
cherished tenets of the game. After twelve straight seasons of F2 showdowns,
Burnett and company have opted to go with a F3 Tribal Council in which an
expanded Jury of 9 will cast their votes to determine who outwitted, outlasted
and outplayed the19 other players in this season.
What follows is the argument for why we believe that when the final votes of
'Suvivor Cook Islands' are read, Ozzy will be named the Ultimate Survivor over
Yul and Becky.
The Final
Three
Two
If producers are going to go to the trouble of having a F3 Final TC, featuring
Becky/Yul/Ozzy as spoiled by
prometheus
, why must they hide one of those players throughout the season? We get it that
Yul and Becky played a very similar, almost symbiotic game, making it redundant
for the story-tellers to focus on both of them. And it probably didn't help
Becky's cause to make it to the Finale as one half of the alliance in which the
other member held the Hidden Immunity Idol. While the audience will never know
how much the players actually were aware of Becky's impact on the game, there
cannot be much suspense in terms of Becky having much of a shot at winning this
season of 'Survivor', given her edit. Maybe Probst will give her some air time
at the Reunion.
The showdown between Yul and Ozzy has certainly been hinted at in various
sequence shots at challenges, tribal councils and even in promos. Take this
sequence from an Episode 8 promo, in which the word "Who" was sandwiched between
flashing shots of Ozzy and Yul bathed in light.
Unless the Jury is determined to vote against the top two players, the voting
should come down to Yul and Ozzy, as noted by
Bluto Delta
. Purists might quibble over the F3/F2 discrepancy, but not having all the
details right doesn't negate the value of the spoiler. After all, even
prometheus initially gave us a ten-member Jury.
Themes
Episode 11 of 'Suvivor Cook Islands' saw the exposition of the Rational Player
modus operandi under which Yul presumably has been playing this game. In the
wake of the episode, fans across the Internet adopted emotional arguments to
argue vehemently that the focus on rational gameplay must indicate a Yul win at
the end of the season. Go figure.
'Suvivor Cook Islands' has certainly been marked by the contrast between
rational and emotional gamesmanship, as examplified in the microcosm of the
Mutiny episode. Still, the common string connecting the various stages of this
game was clearly the never-say-die attitude prevalent in the spirit of the
underdogs. Yul was indeed the mastermind and architect of the change in the
game which landed Becky, Ozzy, Sundra and Yul in the Final Four, but it is
upon Ozzy's spirit that this season's story has unfolded.
We will resist the temptation to go very TapeWatchery (except for the section
which deals with the Mutiny and its aftermath) and will instead focus on
a few key points of the game. For those of you interested in rewatching the
episodes, note in particular the number of reaction shots given to Ozzy when he
wasn't central to the action. There are no real reasons to include those shots,
other than to place him in the context of the season-long storyline.
As initially noted by
VerucaSalt
, Ozzy's major misstep in the game, the throwing of the E2 IC in order to boot
Billy out of the game, had no serious consequences for him in the game. Unlike
Yul who has been edited negatively in the wake of his betrayal of Jonathan,
Ozzy survived uninjured in the public's eyes, tempered perhaps by Billy's
silly love declaration at TC.
That's not to say that Ozzy has not been in danger. His challenge prowess made
him a target early on, from Jonathan and Yul prior to the Mutiny to
everyone else once the merge happened. Everyone keeps talking about having to
vote out Ozzy before it's too late. It will soon prove to be too late, and
sooner than they anticipated.
Ozzy was saved by events outside his control: the Mutiny and the play of the
Hidden Immunity Idol. In the end, however, Ozzy's game has been that of a
strong individual. Even ashe touted the importance of team work, "as long as we
stay fed and happy with each other, we are going to be able to stay strong"
(E1), Ozzy has dominated challenges in a way that few other Survivors have. He
is going to make it to the end much as Kelly in the original Survivor did, by
winning immunities. Weighed against the protection of an idol, which one will
the jurors value more?
Key Editing Moments
We will not provide a comprehensive collection of Ozzy moments, but rather
point to a few select ones which illustrate Ozzy's road to the F3.
Picking New Tribes - E3
Interestingly enough, it was Yul who picked Ozzy ("Well, I only have one choice
left") in the pick-em portion of tribe selection. As Ozzy makes his way accross
to Jonathan and Yul, the music works up to a crescendo and the welcome embrace
is punctuated by a drum beat. No other player is introduced the same way. At a
minimum, this suggests that both Yul and Ozzy are significant players for the
season, but it could be argued that the hold on the Ozzy close-up is a good
sign for him individually.
Mutiny and Its Aftermath
The Mutiny episode began a two-episode showcase arc for Ozzy. Just a week
before, he was most likely the next player in danger of being voted out of his
tribe. After Candice and Jonathan's impulsive decisions, Ozzy suddenly
found himself at the core of his tribe. Significantly, it is Ozzy who is shown
with a single close-up before any other player once the Mutiny is official.
When Probst addresses Aitutaki for their reaction, he asks the first question
to Yul, yet it is Ozzy who is shown first, again in a close-up.
After the RC in the Mutiny episode, as Probst notes that "it would be an
understatement to say that this game has just taken a dramatic turn", we are
treated once again to two close-ups of Ozzy. In the first Ozzy is reveling in
the results of the challenge, while in the second he is relishing the choice of
Exile he (the tribe?) is about to make. As they are leaving the challenge area,
Ozzy is given a final solo shot, as the standard bearer for his new tribe.
While still in the context of the tribe, that shot does underline what Ozzy
will come to say in Episode 13. He has been playing an individual game.
Following the IC in the Mutiny episode, instead of the traditional losing tribe
shots, we are treated to a sweeping shot of Aitutaki from Yul to Becky, in
which everyone is turned towards Ozzy.
The episode following the Mutiny cemented Ozzy's position as the voice and the
heart of the underdogs. He has a series of confessional sequences which
highlight mental strength ("We're being tested in a way few Survivors have been
able to come out of. It's an incredible opportunity. To be the underdog is
amazing. And I'm happy, totally happy to be an underdog."), humility ("We're up
against these amazing odds. We come into the challenges humble, knowing that we
can only try our hardest and that's all we can do.") and respect for local
culture ("Basically, it was a warriors' welcome. And we were warriors that had
just come out of a fierce battle. It was incredible.")
It is here that Ozzy delivers the confessional which defines his journey in the
game: "At this point in the game, we've gone from being separated into all our
same ethnicities; now we're able to come together and experience a totally new
culture. And we carry a part of their spirit with us."
Merge Tribal Council
The first Tribal Council after the merge had suspense built in it because Yul
put the power of the Hidden Immunity Idol into play. Significantly, the person
with the most interesting response to that night's vote possibilities was Ozzy.
We would normally expect Yul, as the architect of the shift, or Jonathan, as
the one switching allegiance, to be the one to drive home the importance of the
vote. Instead, it is Ozzy (prominently featuring his Immunity Necklace) who
says that "this [vote] will definitely set something in motion. At this point,
I think we're definitely at a pivotal moment."
Post-Challenge and Post-TC Speeches
As noted before, there are many instances in which Ozzy is featured in out of
place shots. There are too many to list here, so we will just leave it for you
to search. The shot selection is about figuring out what story is being told.
What About Yul?
The prevalent wind blowing across the spoiling boards over the past few weeks
has given the edge to Yul. The argument has focussed on his reported people
skills and his timely decision in playing the Hidden Immunity Idol.
There is an argument to be made for Ozzy having peaked too soon, whereas Yul
got the sort of negative edit in the last episode that is necessary for
redemption and a win. In the end, we believe that Yul may suffer Jonathan's
fate, being viewed as playing the game too hard. It is always dangerous to be a
politican, and in the end, rare are the ones who come across as being
authentic.
Yul may win some votes for the strategic game he played, but he may lose
others if he attempts to play off his game as morally superior to others.
We do wonder if there will be some voter nullification on Yul. He did use the
power of the Hidden Immunity Idol to flip the game on its head, so that should
get him points in the gamesmanship column, but the fact remains that it is the
fear of the Idol rather than the Idol itself that drives decisions. And while it is certainly not
Yul's fault the producers set it up as such, we find it absurd for the holder
of the HII to be guaranteed a seat in the finals simply because players fear
putting the Idol into play.
Finally, the F3 finale may in fact work against Yul if players consider that
Yul and Becky played as a team. Contrary to usual editing patterns, the point
was made on more than one occasion that their alliance is a strong one. Might
any player want to reward Becky as being instrumental in that alliance by
awarding her a vote? Hard to say, but not out of the realm of possibility. If
so, that would be a vote lost to Yul.
Conspiracy Theories
Probst Intro at the Start of the Game
Ozzy is featured at three key moments in Probst's Intro Speech. First in the
"...these strangers have volunteered to be marooned for the next 39 days..."
segment, followed by the gathering of supplies (slings). Finally, when the
ethnic breakdown of the four tribes is announced, Ozzy is the only one of the
Final 3 shown as representing his tribe.
And "...in the end...", the shot of Aitutaki has Ozzy missing.
The Ubiquitous Intro Credits Theory
Ozzy is the seventh player shown in the credits in unlucky season 13. Hey,
we're just passing along what has been dissected ad nauseum on the boards. Just
in case, we rubbed a white bird's foot for luck.
Speaking of which, Ozzy's sequence is followed by the image of a white bird
soaring against an azure blue sky.
A quick disclaimer: the Intro credits have been discussed on many different
boards, in many different forums at the same boards. It is impossible to
determine who first linked the white bird with Ozzy. In naming one, we would be
offending many, so everyone take a bow. Thank you very much.
More significantly, for a player identified as the main provider for his tribe,
as well as the god of the sea, Ozzy is not given a water shot. For those who
think that no winner has had a featured water shot in the Intro Credits, this
bodes well for Ozzy and not so well for Yul. Of course, there was always Tina
in 'The Australian Outback', so pick whichever observation you choose to
believe.
Promos for the Finale
Motukitiu - the island of Aitutaki Tribe
The island which sheltered the Aitutaki tribe up until the merge is featured
prominently in the promo for the Finale. Is this is a hint that the winner
comes from Aitutaki? Keep in mind that Ozzy is the only member of the F3 to
have lived at his initial tribe's location until the merge took all the players
to the Rarotonga beach.
Probst
*cough*
Never
*cough*
Lies
Who-O
In the end,
we said it before
, it comes down to this shot.
Well done, Ozzy!
Congratulations to OFG, chinagazer, Darnell, Bluto Delta, prometheus,
smokeitgood, CBS and the incomparable TDT for sharing their spoilers with us
this season.
Deep appreciation to VerucaSalt and many other Blows posters for the most
excellent editing thread at Blows.
Thanks as well to all off-season location spoilers at Sucks, including
Wezzie and Survivor Maps.
Silent partners receive silent thanks.
What another would have done as well as you, do not do it. What another would
have said as well as you, do not say it; what another would have written as
well, do not write it. Be faithful to that which exists nowhere but in yourself.
- André Gide
Begin at the beginning and go on till you come to the end; then stop.
- Lewis Carroll
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